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Mathematical Biology seminar: Modeling and Global Sensitivity Analysis of Strategies to Mitigate Covid-19 Transmission on a Structured College Campus

Author: Lona

Speaker: Dr. Lihong Zhao from University of California, Merced

 

Abstract: In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, many higher educational institutions moved their courses from face-to-face instruction to online or hybrid instruction, in hopes of slowing disease spread. The advent of multiple highly-effective vaccines offers the promise of a return to “normal” in-person operations, but it is not clear if — or for how long — campuses should employ non-pharmaceutical interventions such as mandatory mask and capping the size of in-person courses. In this talk, I will introduce the mathematical model we developed to model COVID-19 transmission on UC Merced campus and present the global sensitivity analysis we conducted to evaluate how pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical interventions impact disease spread.